Matchup Machine

Eugenio Suarez

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matchup for Roki Sasaki

329th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Roki Sasaki

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matchup for Eugenio Suarez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Suarez
10

Model Prediction

Eugenio Suarez has a 38.2% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 5.9% higher than Suarez's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Sasaki.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.2%23.6%4.2%6.6%12.8%14.6%27.4%
Suarez+5.9+1.6+0.4+1.5-0.3+4.3-2.1
Sasaki+1.1+1.0+1.1+0.4-0.6+0.1+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Eugenio Suarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Suarez has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Eugenio Suarez has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
60%
   Splitter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

16.4% of Eugenio Suarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.0% -4.7% 4%         Walk -0.4% +27.6% 41%         In Play -2.5% -23.0% 39%         On Base -0.2% +14.9% 31%         Hit +0.2% -12.8% 14%         Single -2.4% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% -6.7% 3%         Home Run +4.6% -3.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years