Matchup Machine

Eugenio Suarez

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matchup for Daniel Palencia

367th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Daniel Palencia

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matchup for Eugenio Suarez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Suarez
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Model Prediction

Eugenio Suarez has a 36.7% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 4.5% higher than Suarez's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Palencia.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.7%20.3%4.0%4.1%12.2%16.4%31.0%
Suarez+4.5-1.7+0.2-1.0-1.0+6.2+1.5
Palencia+1.9+0.8+1.6+0.3-1.1+1.1+3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Eugenio Suarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Suarez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Eugenio Suarez has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
61%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.4% of Eugenio Suarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.0% +4.4% 4%         Walk -0.4% +3.4% 41%         In Play -2.5% -7.8% 39%         On Base -0.2% -0.7% 31%         Hit +0.2% -4.2% 14%         Single -2.4% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +4.6% -0.6%

History

Eugenio Suarez has 1 plate appearance against Daniel Palencia in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-16Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.