Matchup Machine

Eugenio Suarez

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matchup for P. Sandoval

202nd out of 436 (Best 47%)

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Patrick Sandoval

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matchup for Eugenio Suarez

384th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Leans in favor of Suarez
1

Model Prediction

Eugenio Suarez has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 0.1% higher than Suarez's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Sandoval.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%22.1%3.2%4.3%14.7%10.3%31.2%
Suarez+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.8+1.5+0.1+1.7
Sandoval+0.4-0.4+0.6-0.5-0.6+0.8+7.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Eugenio Suarez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Suarez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Eugenio Suarez has an A+ grade against left-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (L)
27%
   4-Seam (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Sinker (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

16.4% of Eugenio Suarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.0% +3.4% 4%         Walk -0.4% 0.0% 41%         In Play -2.5% -3.4% 39%         On Base -0.2% -0.2% 31%         Hit +0.2% -0.1% 14%         Single -2.4% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +4.6% -1.4%

History

Eugenio Suarez has 15 plate appearances against Patrick Sandoval in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 14 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual15145104410.357
Expected From Contact →3.780.770.272.730.270
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-12Home Run67%12%22%
2023-09-12Groundout53%47%
2023-09-12Single2%93%5%
2023-06-10Strikeout
2023-06-10Single5%8%87%
2023-06-10Single15%84%
2022-08-05Walk
2022-08-05Pop Out100%
2022-08-05Strikeout
2022-06-25Single2%94%3%
2022-06-25Groundout3%3%94%
2022-06-25Strikeout
2022-06-18Flyout10%4%85%
2022-06-18Groundout5%95%
2022-06-18Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.