Matchup Machine

Eugenio Suarez

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matchup for Austin Gomber

418th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Eugenio Suarez

31st out of 567 (Best 6%)

Extreme advantage for Suarez
10

Model Prediction

Eugenio Suarez has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 2.8% higher than Suarez's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.1%28.3%5.0%7.2%16.2%6.8%20.6%
Suarez+2.8+6.3+1.2+2.0+3.1-3.5-8.8
Gomber+3.4+2.4+1.6+0.5+0.3+0.9+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Eugenio Suarez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Suarez has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Eugenio Suarez has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

16.4% of Eugenio Suarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.0% -3.3% 4%         Walk -0.4% -2.5% 41%         In Play -2.5% +5.9% 39%         On Base -0.2% +0.6% 31%         Hit +0.2% +3.1% 14%         Single -2.4% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +4.6% +0.3%

History

Eugenio Suarez has 12 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 8 with a home run, 4 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual1281100140.125
Expected From Contact →2.820.990.691.130.352
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-18Lineout2%72%26%
2024-08-13Groundout27%72%
2024-08-13Flyout4%3%93%
2024-08-13Walk
2024-04-10Lineout12%44%43%
2024-04-10Lineout13%1%85%
2024-04-10Groundout8%92%
2024-03-30Home Run88%5%7%
2024-03-30Walk
2023-04-14Strikeout
2023-04-14Walk
2023-04-14Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.