Matchup Machine

Eugenio Suarez

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

368th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Eugenio Suarez

18th out of 567 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Suarez
10

Model Prediction

Eugenio Suarez has a 40.5% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 8.2% higher than Suarez's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction40.5%29.6%3.4%5.9%20.3%10.9%21.9%
Suarez+8.2+7.6-0.4+0.8+7.2+0.7-7.5
Stroman+2.9+0.8+0.6+0.1+0.0+2.1+3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Eugenio Suarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Suarez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Eugenio Suarez has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.4% of Eugenio Suarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.0% -3.1% 4%         Walk -0.4% -0.8% 41%         In Play -2.5% +3.9% 39%         On Base -0.2% +3.0% 31%         Hit +0.2% +3.8% 14%         Single -2.4% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +4.6% -1.1%

History

Eugenio Suarez has 3 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001100.333
Expected From Contact →0.430.000.030.400.142
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-12Strikeout
2023-04-12Pop Out99%
2023-04-12Single2%40%58%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.