Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Elias Diaz

matchup for Logan Allen

141st out of 436 (Best 33%)

Logan Allen

matchup for Elias Diaz

11st out of 567 (Best 3%)

Extreme advantage for Diaz

Elias Diaz has a 36.4% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 5.7% higher than Diaz's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Allen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.4%	27.2%	2.2%	6.1%	18.9%	9.2%	16.1%
Diaz	+5.7	+3.1	+0.5	+1.4	+1.2	+2.6	-6.9
Allen	-0.7	+2.7	-1.6	+0.3	+4.0	-3.4	-1.1

Elias Diaz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Logan Allen is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Diaz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Elias Diaz has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

47%

Slider (L)

22%

Changeup (L)

19%

Cutter (L)

11%

7% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Elias Diaz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 7%

+2%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

31% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Elias Diaz has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 31%

+16%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Medium Drop 22%

+9%

13.2% of Elias Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.4% -4.2% 5%

Walk -2.6% +1.6% 38%

In Play +5.0% +2.6% 39%

On Base +3.8% +1.5% 31%

Hit +6.4% -0.1% 14%

Single +3.8% -1.0% 13%

2B / 3B +3.7% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -1.1% +1.4%

33.6% of Elias Diaz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% lower than the league average. Logan Allen induces Standard Grounders at a 33.5% rate, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.8% -1.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer +3.8% -3.2% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% +2.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.7% -1.6% 3%

Pop up +1.9% +1.4%

26.3% of Elias Diaz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 33.7% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.5% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.5% -2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.8% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.0% +9.4%

8.1% of Elias Diaz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 9.8% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.7% -0.3% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.1% +1.7% 8%

1 to 6° +3.8% +0.9% 18%

7 to 18° -3.5% +0.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.3% -1.1% 11%

29 to 38° -3.3% -1.7% 7%

39 to 50° +1.2% -0.5% 8%

Above 50° +3.3% +0.5%

Elias Diaz has 2 plate appearances against Logan Allen in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.03	0.00	0.66	0.38			0.517

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-29	GIDP			30%	69%
2024-05-29	Double		65%	7%	28%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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