Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Elias Diaz

matchup for Logan Webb

251st out of 436 (Worst 43%)

Logan Webb

matchup for Elias Diaz

162nd out of 567 (Best 29%)

Moderate advantage for Diaz

Elias Diaz has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.9% higher than Diaz's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	27.3%	1.4%	5.0%	20.8%	5.4%	18.7%
Diaz	+1.9	+3.1	-0.3	+0.3	+3.1	-1.2	-4.3
Webb	+0.5	+2.5	-1.0	-0.2	+3.6	-2.1	-3.3

Elias Diaz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Diaz has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Elias Diaz has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Elias Diaz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Elias Diaz has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

13.2% of Elias Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.4% -0.8% 5%

Walk -2.6% -2.4% 38%

In Play +5.0% +3.2% 39%

On Base +3.8% +1.6% 31%

Hit +6.4% +4.0% 14%

Single +3.8% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +3.7% +2.8% 3%

Home Run -1.1% -1.3%

33.6% of Elias Diaz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.8% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +3.8% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.7% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +1.9% -1.4%

26.3% of Elias Diaz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.5% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.5% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.8% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.0% +3.6%

8.1% of Elias Diaz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.7% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.1% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° +3.8% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -3.5% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° -2.3% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° -3.3% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° +1.2% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +3.3% -5.1%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	16	16	1	0	0	1	4	0	0.063
Expected From Contact →			2.82	0.00	0.79	2.02			0.176

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-13	Field Error
2024-09-13	Strikeout
2024-07-20	GIDP			14%	86%
2023-09-15	Groundout			9%	91%
2023-09-15	Flyout				100%
2023-09-15	Groundout		2%	16%	83%
2023-09-09	Groundout		44%	13%	43%
2023-09-09	Groundout			11%	89%
2023-07-09	Strikeout
2023-07-09	Strikeout
2023-07-09	Groundout
2023-07-09	Single
2022-09-27	Groundout			26%	74%
2022-09-27	Flyout		3%		97%
2022-09-21	Strikeout
2022-09-21	Groundout		29%	14%	57%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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