matchup for Ranger Suarez
matchup for Elias Diaz
4
Elias Diaz has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 3.4% higher than Diaz's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Suarez.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 33.3% | 26.6% | 1.7% | 6.1% | 18.7% | 6.7% | 22.7% |
| Diaz | +3.4 | +2.9 | -0.1 | +1.4 | +1.7 | +0.5 | -1.3 |
| Suarez | -0.8 | +1.8 | -0.7 | +0.5 | +2.0 | -2.6 | -1.6 |
Elias Diaz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Diaz has a D grade vs this particular release point.
Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Elias Diaz has a B- grade against left-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (L)
33%
4-Seam (L)
21%
Changeup (L)
20%
Curve (L)
12%
Cutter (L)
8%
13% of Ranger Suarez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Elias Diaz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
13%
+4%
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
Meatball
2%
-3%
33% of Ranger Suarez's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Elias Diaz has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Just Gravity
33%
+20%
Extreme Break
34%
+18%
Medium Fast Velo
31%
+15%
13.3% of Elias Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.1%
+0.1%
5%
Walk
-2.7%
-1.3%
38%
In Play
+4.9%
+1.1%
39%
On Base
+3.7%
+1.8%
31%
Hit
+6.4%
+3.0%
14%
Single
+3.8%
+1.8%
13%
2B / 3B
+3.7%
+2.1%
3%
Home Run
-1.1%
-0.9%
33.8% of Elias Diaz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez induces Standard Grounders at a 45.7% rate, which is 11.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.1%
+2.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
-0.6%
+11.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
+2.3%
+1.7%
14%
Low Screamer
+3.7%
-2.3%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.6%
-1.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.3%
-2.5%
3%
Likely Homer
-2.5%
-0.5%
1%
No Doubter
-0.1%
-0.9%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.7%
-6.5%
3%
Pop up
+1.9%
-1.1%
26.2% of Elias Diaz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 21.7% of batted balls allowed by Ranger Suarez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+2.5%
+4.1%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+2.6%
+2.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.1%
-1.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-3.8%
-2.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
+1.9%
-2.6%
8.1% of Elias Diaz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Ranger Suarez are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.7%
+10.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.3%
+0.8%
8%
1 to 6°
+3.8%
+1.6%
18%
7 to 18°
-3.6%
-1.6%
15%
19 to 28°
-2.3%
-2.1%
11%
29 to 38°
-3.3%
-3.5%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.1%
-1.0%
8%
Above 50°
+3.2%
-4.5%
Elias Diaz has 12 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 12 with a double and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 12 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 4.34 | 0.01 | 1.62 | 2.71 | 0.361 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-05-26 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-05-26 | Groundout | 29% | 70% | ||
| 2024-05-26 | Forceout | 1% | 34% | 65% | |
| 2024-04-16 | Single | ||||
| 2024-04-16 | Groundout | ||||
| 2024-04-16 | Lineout | ||||
| 2024-04-16 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-05-13 | Single | 12% | 58% | 31% | |
| 2023-05-13 | Lineout | 11% | 21% | 69% | |
| 2022-04-27 | Double | 54% | 8% | 38% | |
| 2022-04-27 | Flyout | 29% | 1% | 69% | |
| 2022-04-27 | Single | 9% | 73% | 18% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
