Matchup Machine

Elias Diaz

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matchup for Austin Gomber

96th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Elias Diaz

156th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Moderate advantage for Diaz
3

Model Prediction

Elias Diaz has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.3% higher than Diaz's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%26.5%1.7%7.0%17.7%3.9%17.3%
Diaz-0.3+2.40.0+2.3+0.0-2.7-5.7
Gomber-1.4+0.6-1.6+0.4+1.8-1.9-0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Elias Diaz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Diaz has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Elias Diaz has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

13.2% of Elias Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.4% -3.3% 5%         Walk -2.6% -2.5% 38%         In Play +5.0% +5.9% 39%         On Base +3.8% +0.6% 31%         Hit +6.4% +3.1% 14%         Single +3.8% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +3.7% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years