Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jose Abreu

matchup for Roki Sasaki

out of 436 (Worst %)

Roki Sasaki

matchup for Jose Abreu

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Abreu

Jose Abreu has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 5.6% higher than Abreu's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Sasaki.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.3%	23.3%	2.1%	5.5%	15.7%	12.0%	23.0%
Abreu	+5.6	+1.3	+0.1	+1.0	+0.2	+4.4	-2.1
Sasaki	-1.8	+0.6	-1.0	-0.7	+2.3	-2.5	+0.5

Jose Abreu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Abreu has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Jose Abreu has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

60%

Splitter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

15%

9% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 0% higher than the MLB average. Jose Abreu has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-3%

Strong Challenge 1%

-4%

Chaser 1%

-5%

Meatball 1%

-5%

Likely Ball 13%

-7%

Mid Challenge 3%

-9%

52% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Jose Abreu has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 52%

+31%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Offspeed (R) 26%

+14%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

12.8% of Jose Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% -4.7% 5%

Walk -1.8% +27.6% 38%

In Play +4.8% -23.0% 39%

On Base +0.1% +14.9% 31%

Hit +1.9% -12.8% 14%

Single +0.1% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.4% -6.7% 3%

Home Run +1.4% -3.1%

35.4% of Jose Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Roki Sasaki induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +8.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.1% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -0.8% -6.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.9% -2.5% 3%

Pop up -1.4% +15.2%

34.5% of Jose Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at above 100 mph, which is 24.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.1% +10.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.1% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% +17.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.8% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +10.2% -24.3%

10.8% of Jose Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%