matchup for Ryne Nelson
matchup for Jose Abreu
5
Jose Abreu has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 1.1% lower than Abreu's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Nelson.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 28.7% | 23.0% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 17.4% | 5.7% | 27.6% |
| Abreu | -1.1 | +1.0 | -0.2 | -0.7 | +1.9 | -2.1 | +2.5 |
| Nelson | -1.4 | -0.4 | -1.0 | -1.0 | +1.6 | -1.0 | +1.5 |
Jose Abreu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryne Nelson is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Abreu has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Ryne Nelson throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jose Abreu has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
56%
Cutter (R)
15%
Slider (R)
11%
Changeup (R)
11%
Curve (R)
6%
15% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jose Abreu has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
15%
+4%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Meatball
6%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
-1%
Weak Challenge
7%
-1%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Non-Competitive
9%
-3%
29% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Jose Abreu has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
High Ride
29%
+19%
Fastball (R)
72%
+18%
Small Break
25%
+16%
Fast Velo
29%
+14%
12.8% of Jose Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-3.0%
-2.9%
5%
Walk
-1.8%
-2.2%
38%
In Play
+4.8%
+5.2%
39%
On Base
+0.1%
+0.3%
31%
Hit
+1.9%
+2.6%
14%
Single
+0.1%
+1.0%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.4%
+1.5%
3%
Home Run
+1.4%
+0.1%
35.4% of Jose Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Ryne Nelson induces Standard Grounders at a 35.2% rate, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.5%
-0.5%
34%
Standard Grounder
+1.0%
+0.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
+2.1%
-2.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.8%
+0.8%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.2%
+2.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.4%
-1.2%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.5%
-1.0%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
-0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.9%
+1.2%
3%
Pop up
-1.4%
-0.6%
34.5% of Jose Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. 29.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-4.1%
-1.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.1%
-1.9%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.4%
+0.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.8%
-2.0%
24%
Above 100 mph
+10.2%
+5.0%
10.8% of Jose Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 10.6% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-0.4%
+2.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
+2.8%
-0.3%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.4%
-2.4%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.3%
+5.0%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.7%
-4.3%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.7%
-0.9%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.6%
+0.7%
8%
Above 50°
-1.5%
+0.1%
No History in the last 3 years
