matchup for Chris Paddack
matchup for Jose Abreu
2
Jose Abreu has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 0.6% lower than Abreu's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Paddack.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.3% | 23.4% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 15.9% | 5.8% | 23.7% |
| Abreu | -0.6 | +1.4 | +0.2 | +0.8 | +0.3 | -2.0 | -1.4 |
| Paddack | -2.6 | -0.8 | -1.1 | -0.5 | +0.8 | -1.9 | +2.9 |
Jose Abreu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Abreu has a C- grade vs this particular release point.
Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jose Abreu has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
56%
Changeup (R)
28%
Curve (R)
12%
14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jose Abreu has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Meatball
6%
0%
Weak Challenge
6%
-2%
Likely Ball
17%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
42% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Jose Abreu has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
42%
+21%
High Ride
29%
+19%
Offspeed (R)
28%
+16%
Fast Velo
25%
+10%
12.8% of Jose Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-3.0%
+3.4%
5%
Walk
-1.8%
-2.6%
38%
In Play
+4.8%
-0.9%
39%
On Base
+0.1%
-2.5%
31%
Hit
+1.9%
+0.1%
14%
Single
+0.1%
-0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.4%
+0.0%
3%
Home Run
+1.4%
+0.5%
35.4% of Jose Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 29.2% rate, which is 5.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.5%
+1.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
+1.0%
-5.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
+2.1%
+1.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.8%
-0.3%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.2%
+1.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.4%
+1.3%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.5%
-0.6%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
-0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.9%
+0.6%
3%
Pop up
-1.4%
+0.5%
34.5% of Jose Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. 29.7% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-4.1%
-4.2%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.1%
+0.7%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.4%
-2.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.8%
+0.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
+10.2%
+5.4%
10.8% of Jose Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 11.2% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-0.4%
-2.4%
12%
-10 to 0°
+2.8%
+0.2%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.4%
-1.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.3%
+1.4%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.7%
+1.7%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.7%
-0.2%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.6%
+0.7%
8%
Above 50°
-1.5%
-0.2%
Jose Abreu has 1 plate appearance against Chris Paddack in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.002 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-10-11 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
