Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jose Abreu

matchup for Chad Green

out of 436 (Worst %)

Chad Green

matchup for Jose Abreu

474th out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Strong advantage for Green

Jose Abreu has a 24.7% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 4.9% lower than Abreu's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Green.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	24.7%	19.7%	2.5%	3.9%	13.2%	5.1%	25.6%
Abreu	-4.9	-2.4	+0.6	-0.6	-2.3	-2.6	+0.5
Green	-2.1	-0.5	-0.8	-1.1	+1.4	-1.6	+0.6

Jose Abreu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Abreu has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Jose Abreu has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

72%

Slider (R)

14%

Curve (R)

11%

16% of Chad Green's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jose Abreu has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

47% of Chad Green's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Jose Abreu has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 47%

+28%

High Ride 37%

+27%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Fastball (R) 73%

+20%

12.8% of Jose Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% +9.3% 5%

Walk -1.8% -3.9% 38%

In Play +4.8% -5.4% 39%

On Base +0.1% -8.6% 31%

Hit +1.9% -4.7% 14%

Single +0.1% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B +0.4% -2.9% 3%

Home Run +1.4% +0.3%

35.4% of Jose Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Chad Green induces Standard Grounders at a 25.6% rate, which is 8.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% -8.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.1% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -0.8% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.9% +9.5% 3%

Pop up -1.4% +1.8%

34.5% of Jose Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Chad Green are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.1% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.1% -4.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.8% +4.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +10.2% +3.6%

10.8% of Jose Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 15.0% of batted balls allowed by Chad Green are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.4% -3.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.8% -2.8% 8%

1 to 6° +1.4% -2.3% 18%

7 to 18° -0.4% -2.5% 15%

19 to 28° -0.7% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° -0.7% +3.5% 7%

39 to 50° -0.6% +1.3% 8%

Above 50° -1.5% +5.8%

Jose Abreu has 2 plate appearances against Chad Green in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.003

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-02	Strikeout
2022-05-12	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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