Matchup Machine

      Jose Abreu

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      matchup for Yunior Marte

      out of 436 (Worst %)

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      Yunior Marte

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      matchup for Jose Abreu

      87th out of 564 (Best 16%)

      Moderate advantage for Abreu
      4

      Model Prediction

      Jose Abreu has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Yunior Marte, which is 5.6% higher than Abreu's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Marte.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Jose Abreu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yunior Marte is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Abreu has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Yunior Marte throws a Slider 41% of the time. Jose Abreu has an A- grade against right-handed Sliders

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
      41%
         Sinker (R)
      40%
         4-Seam (R)
      18%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.8% of Jose Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Yunior Marte strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% -2.5% 5%         Walk -1.8% +1.0% 38%         In Play +4.8% +1.5% 39%         On Base +0.1% +11.4% 31%         Hit +1.9% +10.4% 14%         Single +0.1% +5.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% +5.7% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -0.5%

      History

      Jose Abreu has 2 plate appearances against Yunior Marte in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual220000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.230.000.000.230.115
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-04-29Groundout4%96%
      2022-07-03Groundout19%81%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.