Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jose Abreu

matchup for Miles Mikolas

out of 436 (Worst %)

Miles Mikolas

matchup for Jose Abreu

105th out of 567 (Best 19%)

Moderate advantage for Abreu

Jose Abreu has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 0.5% higher than Abreu's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.2%	26.3%	2.5%	6.1%	17.7%	3.9%	19.0%
Abreu	+0.5	+4.3	+0.5	+1.5	+2.2	-3.8	-6.1
Mikolas	-2.0	-1.8	-0.8	-0.5	-0.5	-0.3	-1.5

Jose Abreu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Abreu has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Jose Abreu has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

27%

Slider (R)

26%

Sinker (R)

23%

Curve (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

13% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jose Abreu has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

28% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Jose Abreu has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Extreme Drop 18%

+13%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

12.8% of Jose Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% -3.3% 5%

Walk -1.8% -3.9% 38%

In Play +4.8% +7.2% 39%

On Base +0.1% -0.6% 31%

Hit +1.9% +3.3% 14%

Single +0.1% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.4% +1.8% 3%

Home Run +1.4% +0.0%

35.4% of Jose Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas induces Standard Grounders at a 38.7% rate, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% +4.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.1% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -0.8% -1.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.9% -3.7% 3%

Pop up -1.4% -0.2%

34.5% of Jose Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.1% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.1% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.8% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +10.2% +1.1%

10.8% of Jose Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.4% +0.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.8% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° +1.4% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -0.4% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° -0.7% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -0.7% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° -0.6% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° -1.5% -2.1%

Jose Abreu has 5 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.200
Expected From Contact →			1.50	0.00	0.41	1.09			0.300

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-05	Groundout			3%	97%
2024-06-05	Lineout		19%	9%	72%
2023-06-28	Single			84%	15%
2023-06-28	Sac Fly		21%	13%	66%
2023-06-28	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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