matchup for Ryan Weathers
matchup for Bryce Harper
5
Bryce Harper has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.5% lower than Harper's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Weathers.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.3% | 20.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 26.9% |
| Harper | -1.5 | -1.9 | -0.2 | +0.3 | -2.0 | +0.4 | +1.4 |
| Weathers | +2.3 | -0.7 | +1.5 | +0.5 | -2.8 | +3.0 | +2.2 |
Bryce Harper is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Harper has a C- grade vs this particular release point.
Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Bryce Harper has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
44%
Slider (L)
25%
Changeup (L)
18%
Sinker (L)
13%
12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Bryce Harper has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Chaser
5%
-1%
53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Bryce Harper has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
53%
+32%
Fast Velo
28%
+19%
Low Ride
37%
+14%
13.7% of Bryce Harper's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-1.5%
-2.0%
3%
Walk
+2.0%
-0.6%
40%
In Play
-0.5%
+2.6%
39%
On Base
+2.6%
+1.0%
31%
Hit
+0.6%
+1.6%
14%
Single
-0.5%
+0.9%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.7%
+1.2%
3%
Home Run
+1.8%
-0.5%
32.6% of Bryce Harper's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.0% rate, which is 5.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.3%
+0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
-1.8%
+5.6%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.0%
-0.6%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.0%
-0.9%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.6%
-1.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.9%
+1.5%
3%
Likely Homer
+2.3%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
+1.2%
+0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.5%
-5.4%
3%
Pop up
-1.2%
+1.2%
32.7% of Bryce Harper's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.4% higher than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.9%
+0.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.4%
+1.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.4%
-0.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.7%
-1.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
+8.4%
+1.0%
11.3% of Bryce Harper's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 7.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.3%
+4.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.7%
+2.5%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.0%
+1.1%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.4%
-3.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.0%
+0.1%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.2%
-3.6%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.0%
+0.1%
8%
Above 50°
-1.7%
-0.8%
Bryce Harper has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a home run, a double and a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.83 | 0.45 | 0.65 | 0.72 | 0.913 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-07-15 | Walk | ||||
| 2023-07-15 | Double | 17% | 71% | 12% | |
| 2023-07-15 | Home Run | 45% | 48% | 6% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
