Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Bryce Harper

matchup for Aaron Nola

420th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Bryce Harper

289th out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Strong advantage for Harper

Bryce Harper has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 0.9% lower than Harper's typical expectations, and 4.3% higher than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.8%	24.2%	4.7%	7.6%	11.8%	9.6%	31.6%
Harper	-0.9	+1.5	+0.7	+1.7	-1.0	-2.4	+6.4
Nola	+4.3	+1.8	+1.8	+1.4	-1.3	+2.5	+0.7

Bryce Harper is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Harper has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Bryce Harper hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Bryce Harper has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Bryce Harper has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

13.8% of Bryce Harper's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.3% +6.3% 3%

Walk +2.1% -2.8% 40%

In Play -0.7% -3.5% 39%

On Base +2.8% -4.8% 31%

Hit +0.8% -2.0% 14%

Single -0.5% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.6% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.9% -0.5%

32.6% of Bryce Harper's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.8% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder 0.0% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.9% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.6% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.9% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.5% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -1.2% -0.7%

32.7% of Bryce Harper's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.4% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.5% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.6% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +8.4% -0.7%

11.3% of Bryce Harper's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%