Matchup Machine

Mike Trout

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

252nd out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Mike Trout

426th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
1

Model Prediction

Mike Trout has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.8% lower than Trout's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%17.8%2.3%4.9%10.5%13.6%28.6%
Trout-1.8-1.4-1.1+0.7-1.1-0.3+0.6
Weathers+1.5-3.7+0.3-0.6-3.4+5.2+3.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Mike Trout is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Trout has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Mike Trout has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Mike Trout's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% -2.1% 2%         Walk +4.4% -0.6% 42%         In Play -6.3% +2.7% 39%         On Base +3.4% +0.9% 31%         Hit -1.0% +1.5% 14%         Single -2.0% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.6% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +2.6% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years