Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Mike Trout

matchup for Luis Severino

404th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

Luis Severino

matchup for Mike Trout

234th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Trout

Mike Trout has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 1.1% higher than Trout's typical expectations, and 4.2% higher than batters facing Severino.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.3%	19.7%	3.4%	4.3%	12.1%	14.6%	25.5%
Trout	+1.1	+0.5	-0.1	+0.1	+0.5	+0.7	-2.5
Severino	+4.2	-1.5	+0.9	+0.2	-2.6	+5.8	+2.3

Mike Trout is better vs right-handed pitching. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Trout has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Mike Trout has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

14%

Sinker (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Mike Trout has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

27% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Mike Trout has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 27%

+19%

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Medium Ride 24%

+10%

15.7% of Mike Trout's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.8% +0.9% 2%

Walk +4.4% -1.1% 42%

In Play -6.3% +0.2% 39%

On Base +3.4% -0.9% 31%

Hit -1.0% +0.2% 14%

Single -2.0% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B -1.6% +0.4% 3%

Home Run +2.6% -0.5%

20.2% of Mike Trout's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 14.3% lower than the league average. Luis Severino induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -14.3% +1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.1% +3.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.8% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.0% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +6.5% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +3.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.9% -1.4% 3%

Pop up -1.0% -0.7%

39.3% of Mike Trout's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% +2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.3% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.3% -3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.0% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% -0.5%

16.6% of Mike Trout's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%