Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Mike Trout

matchup for Seth Lugo

393rd out of 436 (Worst 10%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Mike Trout

97th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Extreme advantage for Trout

Mike Trout has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 2.6% higher than Trout's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.8%	22.4%	4.8%	4.9%	12.7%	13.4%	28.0%
Trout	+2.6	+3.1	+1.4	+0.7	+1.1	-0.5	-0.1
Lugo	+3.4	-1.5	+1.7	-0.1	-3.1	+4.9	+3.2

Mike Trout is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Trout has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Mike Trout has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Mike Trout has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Mike Trout has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

15.7% of Mike Trout's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.8% +0.8% 2%

Walk +4.4% -2.3% 42%

In Play -6.3% +1.4% 39%

On Base +3.4% -0.4% 31%

Hit -1.0% +1.9% 14%

Single -2.0% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -1.6% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +2.6% +0.1%

20.2% of Mike Trout's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 14.3% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -14.3% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.1% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.8% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.0% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +6.5% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter +3.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.9% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -1.0% -2.2%

39.3% of Mike Trout's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.3% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.3% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.0% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% -1.6%

16.6% of Mike Trout's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%