Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Mike Trout

matchup for Aaron Nola

108th out of 436 (Best 26%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Mike Trout

513th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Moderate advantage for Nola

Mike Trout has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 4.5% lower than Trout's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.7%	18.6%	3.1%	4.5%	11.0%	10.1%	37.2%
Trout	-4.5	-0.7	-0.3	+0.3	-0.7	-3.8	+9.2
Nola	-0.8	-3.8	+0.1	-1.8	-2.2	+3.0	+6.3

Mike Trout is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Trout has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Mike Trout hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Mike Trout has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Mike Trout has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

15.7% of Mike Trout's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.8% +6.3% 2%

Walk +4.4% -2.8% 42%

In Play -6.3% -3.5% 39%

On Base +3.4% -4.8% 31%

Hit -1.0% -2.0% 14%

Single -2.0% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.6% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +2.6% -0.5%

20.2% of Mike Trout's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 14.3% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -14.3% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.1% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.8% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.0% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +6.5% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +3.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.9% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -1.0% -0.7%

39.3% of Mike Trout's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.3% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.3% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.0% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% -0.7%

16.6% of Mike Trout's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%