Matchup Machine

Randal Grichuk

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matchup for Jared Jones

330th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Randal Grichuk

418th out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Moderate advantage for Grichuk
3

Model Prediction

Randal Grichuk has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.1% lower than Grichuk's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%22.4%3.3%5.5%13.6%9.1%25.9%
Grichuk-1.1-1.5+0.10.0-1.5+0.4+5.7
Jones+0.5+1.6+0.4+0.4+0.8-1.1-2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Randal Grichuk is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Grichuk has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Randal Grichuk has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.4% of Randal Grichuk's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.4% +0.4% 5%         Walk -1.4% +0.6% 37%         In Play +6.8% -1.1% 39%         On Base +0.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit +1.5% -0.8% 14%         Single -0.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +2.1% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years