Matchup Machine

Ildemaro Vargas

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matchup for Ryan Johnson

151st out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Ryan Johnson

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matchup for Ildemaro Vargas

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Vargas
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Model Prediction

Ildemaro Vargas has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Johnson, which is 0.5% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Johnson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.5%25.9%1.3%5.3%19.3%7.6%10.0%
Vargas+0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1-0.8+1.1-2.1
Johnson-1.4+2.4-1.7-0.8+4.9-3.8-9.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Ildemaro Vargas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Johnson is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Johnson throws a Cutter 62% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
62%
   Sinker (R)
18%
   4-Seam (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Ryan Johnson strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 14.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.6% -14.4% 5%         Walk -1.3% +2.1% 33%         In Play +15.9% +12.3% 39%         On Base +4.0% +6.0% 31%         Hit +5.3% +3.9% 14%         Single +3.8% -6.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% -5.9% 3%         Home Run -2.3% +16.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years