Matchup Machine

Ildemaro Vargas

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matchup for Zach Brzykcy

334th out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Zach Brzykcy

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matchup for Ildemaro Vargas

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Vargas
9

Model Prediction

Ildemaro Vargas has a 36.7% chance of reaching base vs Zach Brzykcy, which is 3.8% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Brzykcy.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.7%28.8%1.6%5.8%21.4%8.0%10.9%
Vargas+3.8+2.3+0.4+0.6+1.3+1.4-1.2
Brzykcy+1.8+5.3-1.5-0.3+7.1-3.5-10.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Ildemaro Vargas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zach Brzykcy is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vargas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Brzykcy throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Curve (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
21%

Contact and Outcomes

5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Zach Brzykcy strikes out 12.7% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.6% -9.3% 5%         Walk -1.3% +2.7% 33%         In Play +15.9% +6.6% 39%         On Base +4.0% +16.4% 31%         Hit +5.3% +13.7% 14%         Single +3.8% +4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% +4.7% 3%         Home Run -2.3% +4.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years