Matchup Machine

Ildemaro Vargas

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matchup for Zach Penrod

313th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Zach Penrod

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matchup for Ildemaro Vargas

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Vargas
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Model Prediction

Ildemaro Vargas has a 35.7% chance of reaching base vs Zach Penrod, which is 2.8% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Penrod.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.7%26.8%1.2%5.9%19.7%8.9%10.2%
Vargas+2.8+0.30.0+0.8-0.4+2.4-1.9
Penrod+0.7+4.8-1.8+0.2+6.4-4.1-12.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Ildemaro Vargas is better vs left-handed pitching. Zach Penrod is left handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Penrod throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
45%
   Changeup (L)
30%
   Slider (L)
24%

Contact and Outcomes

5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Zach Penrod strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.6% -10.5% 5%         Walk -1.3% +13.9% 33%         In Play +15.9% -3.4% 39%         On Base +4.0% +6.9% 31%         Hit +5.3% -7.0% 14%         Single +3.8% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% -1.8% 3%         Home Run -2.3% -2.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years