Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ildemaro Vargas

matchup for Bryce Miller

344th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

Bryce Miller

matchup for Ildemaro Vargas

514th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Leans in favor of Miller

Ildemaro Vargas has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 2.8% lower than Vargas's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.1%	23.5%	1.3%	4.3%	17.9%	6.6%	15.8%
Vargas	-2.8	-2.9	+0.1	-0.8	-2.2	+0.1	+3.7
Miller	+0.9	+3.1	-1.0	-0.1	+4.1	-2.2	-14.1

Ildemaro Vargas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vargas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

13%

Splitter (R)

10%

8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 43%

+28%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -14.6% +0.2% 5%

Walk -1.3% -2.5% 33%

In Play +15.9% +2.3% 39%

On Base +4.0% -3.2% 31%

Hit +5.3% -0.7% 14%

Single +3.8% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +3.9% -0.4% 3%

Home Run -2.3% +0.5%

43.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.6% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.3% -4.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.0% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.5% +5.4% 3%

Pop up -0.8% -0.9%

12.0% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. 25.8% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.6% -2.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.6% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.3% +1.5%

6.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%