Matchup Machine

Ildemaro Vargas

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matchup for Cole Ragans

394th out of 436 (Worst 10%)

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Cole Ragans

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matchup for Ildemaro Vargas

391st out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Vargas
3

Model Prediction

Ildemaro Vargas has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 0.4% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Ragans.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.5%25.0%1.2%5.0%18.9%7.5%14.3%
Vargas-0.4-1.40.0-0.1-1.2+1.0+2.2
Ragans+2.4+6.7-1.2+0.5+7.5-4.3-15.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Ildemaro Vargas is better vs left-handed pitching. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vargas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Changeup (L)
24%
   Cutter (L)
13%
   Slider (L)
10%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.6% +4.5% 5%         Walk -1.3% +1.2% 33%         In Play +15.9% -5.8% 39%         On Base +4.0% -1.8% 31%         Hit +5.3% -3.0% 14%         Single +3.8% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -2.3% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years