Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ildemaro Vargas

matchup for Dean Kremer

332nd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

Dean Kremer

matchup for Ildemaro Vargas

425th out of 564 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Vargas

Ildemaro Vargas has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 1.4% lower than Vargas's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Kremer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.6%	24.9%	1.3%	4.3%	19.4%	6.6%	12.4%
Vargas	-1.4	-1.5	+0.1	-0.8	-0.7	+0.1	+0.3
Kremer	+1.5	+4.5	-1.6	0.0	+6.0	-3.0	-12.8

Ildemaro Vargas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Vargas has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Cutter (R)

25%

Curve (R)

12%

Sinker (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

12% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

74% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 74%

+20%

5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -14.6% -0.3% 5%

Walk -1.3% +0.8% 33%

In Play +15.9% -0.4% 39%

On Base +4.0% +1.3% 31%

Hit +5.3% +0.6% 14%

Single +3.8% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B +3.9% +0.1% 3%

Home Run -2.3% +0.8%

43.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Dean Kremer induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.6% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.3% -3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.0% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% +2.0% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.5% +2.0% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +1.8%

12.0% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. 24.3% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.6% +0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.6% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.3% 0.0%

6.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +13.8% +0.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -3.1% 8%

1 to 6° -1.9% -1.0% 18%

7 to 18° -3.2% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.6% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° -4.8% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° +2.1% +2.6% 8%

Above 50° -3.1% +4.0%

Ildemaro Vargas has 4 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 4.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.42	0.00	0.01	1.41			0.354

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-14	Groundout				99%
2024-08-14	Groundout			2%	98%
2022-09-13	Single			93%	7%
2022-09-13	Single			46%	54%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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