matchup for David Peterson
matchup for Ildemaro Vargas
9
Ildemaro Vargas has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 2.6% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Peterson.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.6% | 28.6% | 1.0% | 7.3% | 20.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% |
| Vargas | +2.6 | +2.1 | -0.2 | +2.2 | +0.1 | +0.5 | -2.8 |
| Peterson | +1.9 | +5.4 | -1.3 | +2.0 | +4.6 | -3.4 | -14.3 |
Ildemaro Vargas is better vs left-handed pitching. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Vargas has an A grade vs this particular release point.
David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
30%
Sinker (L)
24%
Slider (L)
23%
Changeup (L)
18%
Curve (L)
6%
11% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
11%
+2%
Likely Ball
22%
+2%
Non-Competitive
13%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
16%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Meatball
4%
-1%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
27% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
27%
+11%
Low Ride
34%
+10%
Slow Velo
23%
+10%
5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 17.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
20%
Strikeout
-14.6%
+0.4%
5%
Walk
-1.3%
+1.4%
33%
In Play
+15.9%
-1.8%
39%
On Base
+4.0%
+2.2%
31%
Hit
+5.3%
+0.8%
14%
Single
+3.8%
+0.6%
13%
2B / 3B
+3.9%
+1.0%
3%
Home Run
-2.3%
-0.8%
43.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. David Peterson induces Standard Grounders at a 41.6% rate, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+1.6%
+0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
+9.3%
+7.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.2%
-0.1%
14%
Low Screamer
+2.7%
-1.1%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.0%
-0.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
-4.0%
-2.1%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.9%
+0.1%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
+1.3%
20%
Routine Flyout
-4.6%
-5.9%
3%
Pop up
-0.8%
+0.4%
12.1% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.2% lower than the league average. 29.7% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+3.7%
+0.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+4.6%
-0.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.8%
-0.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+2.2%
-4.7%
24%
Above 100 mph
-12.2%
+5.4%
6.6% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. 5.9% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at this angle, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+13.9%
+5.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.4%
+2.5%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.9%
-1.0%
18%
7 to 18°
-3.2%
+2.9%
15%
19 to 28°
-2.5%
-3.9%
11%
29 to 38°
-4.9%
-5.6%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.1%
-1.3%
8%
Above 50°
-3.1%
+0.5%
Ildemaro Vargas has 11 plate appearances against David Peterson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 11 with 2 doubles and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 11 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.273 |
| Expected From Contact → | 3.26 | 0.00 | 1.14 | 2.12 | 0.297 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-07-01 | GIDP | 5% | 95% | ||
| 2024-07-01 | Groundout | 3% | 8% | 89% | |
| 2024-07-01 | Groundout | 20% | 80% | ||
| 2024-06-04 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-06-04 | Groundout | 35% | 65% | ||
| 2024-06-04 | Groundout | 12% | 88% | ||
| 2023-07-30 | Single | 2% | 38% | 60% | |
| 2022-10-04 | Groundout | 18% | 82% | ||
| 2022-09-02 | Double | 66% | 31% | 3% | |
| 2022-09-02 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2022-09-02 | Double | 42% | 46% | 11% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
