Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ildemaro Vargas

matchup for C. Sanchez

399th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Cristopher Sanchez

matchup for Ildemaro Vargas

369th out of 564 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Vargas

Ildemaro Vargas has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Cristopher Sanchez, which is 2.5% lower than Vargas's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Sanchez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.4%	25.3%	1.2%	6.9%	17.1%	5.2%	11.4%
Vargas	-2.5	-1.2	0.0	+1.8	-3.0	-1.3	-0.7
Sanchez	+2.0	+2.9	-1.1	+1.8	+2.2	-1.0	-14.3

Ildemaro Vargas is better vs left-handed pitching. Cristopher Sanchez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Vargas has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Cristopher Sanchez throws a Sinker 49% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas has an A- grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

49%

Changeup (L)

32%

Slider (L)

18%

15% of Cristopher Sanchez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 15%

+6%

Chaser 9%

+4%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Mid Challenge 11%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

76% of Cristopher Sanchez's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 61% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 76%

+61%

Medium Drop 33%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 32%

+20%

Slow Velo 27%

+13%

5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -14.6% -2.7% 5%

Walk -1.3% -2.4% 33%

In Play +15.9% +5.1% 39%

On Base +4.0% +1.4% 31%

Hit +5.3% +3.7% 14%

Single +3.8% +2.2% 13%

2B / 3B +3.9% +2.6% 3%

Home Run -2.3% -1.0%

43.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez induces Standard Grounders at a 53.9% rate, which is 19.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.6% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.3% +19.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -4.9% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.0% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.5% -8.8% 3%

Pop up -0.8% -2.7%

12.0% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. 21.0% of batted balls allowed by Cristopher Sanchez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.6% +6.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.6% -1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% +4.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% -5.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.3% -3.3%

6.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cristopher Sanchez are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +13.8% +15.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +0.9% 8%

1 to 6° -1.9% -4.1% 18%

7 to 18° -3.2% +0.5% 15%

19 to 28° -2.6% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° -4.8% -3.5% 7%

39 to 50° +2.1% -3.7% 8%

Above 50° -3.1% -4.1%

Ildemaro Vargas has 15 plate appearances against Cristopher Sanchez in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 15 with 2 doubles and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	15	15	5	0	2	3	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			3.43	0.23	0.91	2.29			0.229

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-17	Groundout			23%	77%
2024-08-17	Groundout			10%	89%
2024-08-17	Flyout				99%
2024-05-18	Single		7%	56%	37%
2024-05-18	Groundout			24%	76%
2024-05-18	Single		1%	29%	70%
2024-04-07	Double	6%	22%		72%
2024-04-07	Lineout		2%	2%	97%
2023-08-19	Groundout			3%	97%
2023-08-19	Groundout			19%	81%
2023-08-19	Flyout	17%	6%		77%
2022-10-01	Groundout			22%	78%
2022-10-01	Flyout		1%		98%
2022-09-11	Single			27%	73%
2022-09-11	Double		51%	13%	36%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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