Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ildemaro Vargas

matchup for Carson Fulmer

197th out of 436 (Best 46%)

Carson Fulmer

matchup for Ildemaro Vargas

271st out of 567 (Best 49%)

Moderate advantage for Vargas

Ildemaro Vargas has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 0.0% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Fulmer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.9%	26.9%	1.4%	5.1%	20.4%	6.1%	11.3%
Vargas	0.0	+0.4	+0.2	0.0	+0.3	-0.4	-0.8
Fulmer	-0.5	+3.1	-1.7	-0.4	+5.2	-3.6	-10.4

Ildemaro Vargas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Vargas has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

20%

Cutter (R)

15%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

Slider (R)

8% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

33% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 33%

+18%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

Fastball (R) 62%

+8%

5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -14.6% -2.6% 5%

Walk -1.3% +2.5% 33%

In Play +15.9% +0.1% 39%

On Base +4.0% +3.9% 31%

Hit +5.3% +1.4% 14%

Single +3.8% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +3.9% +0.6% 3%

Home Run -2.3% +0.1%

43.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.6% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.3% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +1.9% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% -1.2% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.0% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.5% +3.9% 3%

Pop up -0.8% -2.4%

12.0% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.6% -4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.6% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% -1.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% +3.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.3% +0.6%

6.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%