Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ildemaro Vargas

matchup for Caleb Thielbar

374th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Caleb Thielbar

matchup for Ildemaro Vargas

147th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Strong advantage for Vargas

Ildemaro Vargas has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 2.8% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 3.9% higher than batters facing Thielbar.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.8%	28.1%	1.2%	4.9%	22.0%	7.7%	13.0%
Vargas	+2.8	+1.6	0.0	-0.2	+1.9	+1.2	+0.9
Thielbar	+3.9	+6.3	-2.1	-0.2	+8.5	-2.4	-15.0

Ildemaro Vargas is better vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vargas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Slider (L)

29%

Curve (L)

22%

16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has a D grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 50%

+21%

Small Break 29%

+21%

Slow Lob 22%

+18%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -14.6% +5.2% 5%

Walk -1.3% +1.9% 33%

In Play +15.9% -7.1% 39%

On Base +4.0% -6.1% 31%

Hit +5.3% -8.0% 14%

Single +3.8% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +3.9% -3.9% 3%

Home Run -2.3% +0.2%

43.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.6% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.3% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -3.1% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.0% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.5% +2.4% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +5.0%

12.0% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.6% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.6% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.3% -1.0%

6.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%