Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ildemaro Vargas

matchup for Wade Miley

204th out of 436 (Best 48%)

Wade Miley

matchup for Ildemaro Vargas

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Vargas

Ildemaro Vargas has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Wade Miley, which is 2.9% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Miley.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.8%	30.4%	1.2%	5.2%	24.0%	5.4%	8.5%
Vargas	+2.9	+4.0	0.0	+0.1	+3.9	-1.1	-3.6
Miley	-0.7	+3.5	-1.8	+0.3	+5.0	-4.2	-9.5

Ildemaro Vargas is better vs left-handed pitching. Wade Miley is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Vargas has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Wade Miley throws a Cutter 44% of the time. Ildemaro Vargas hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (L)

44%

Changeup (L)

23%

4-Seam (L)

16%

Curve (L)

24% of Wade Miley's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 24%

+4%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

35% of Wade Miley's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Ildemaro Vargas has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 35%

+22%

Small Break 25%

+15%

Medium Slow Velo 27%

+13%

Offspeed (L) 23%

+11%

5.9% of Ildemaro Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.6% lower than the league average. Wade Miley strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -14.6% -1.5% 5%

Walk -1.3% +0.0% 33%

In Play +15.9% +1.5% 39%

On Base +4.0% -0.5% 31%

Hit +5.3% -0.5% 14%

Single +3.8% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B +3.9% +0.5% 3%

Home Run -2.3% -1.2%

43.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Wade Miley induces Standard Grounders at a 43.9% rate, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.6% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.3% +9.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.0% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.5% -3.0% 3%

Pop up -0.8% -0.3%

12.0% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Wade Miley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.6% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.6% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% +5.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% -4.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.3% -2.8%

6.7% of Ildemaro Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Wade Miley are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +13.8% +7.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.9% 8%

1 to 6° -1.9% -1.5% 18%

7 to 18° -3.2% -3.6% 15%

19 to 28° -2.6% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° -4.8% -1.4% 7%

39 to 50° +2.1% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° -3.1% -1.8%

Ildemaro Vargas has 2 plate appearances against Wade Miley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.60	0.00	0.02	0.59			0.301

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-15	Pop Out				99%
2023-09-15	Double		1%	58%	41%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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