Matchup Machine

Christian Vazquez

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matchup for Jared Jones

175th out of 436 (Best 41%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for C. Vazquez

427th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
3

Model Prediction

Christian Vazquez has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.2% lower than Vazquez's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.1%22.0%2.3%5.7%14.1%7.1%27.1%
Vazquez-1.2-1.6+0.0+0.2-1.9+0.5+5.9
Jones-2.0+1.2-0.7+0.6+1.2-3.2-1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian Vazquez is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vazquez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Christian Vazquez has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Christian Vazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +0.4% 6%         Walk -3.8% +0.6% 37%         In Play +6.9% -1.1% 39%         On Base -0.5% -0.1% 31%         Hit +3.3% -0.8% 14%         Single +1.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.4% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years