Matchup Machine

Christian Vazquez

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

295th out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for C. Vazquez

306th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Vazquez
1

Model Prediction

Christian Vazquez has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.9% lower than Vazquez's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.4%22.8%2.0%6.9%14.0%6.6%20.5%
Vazquez-0.9-0.8-0.3+1.5-2.0-0.1-0.7
Weathers-0.5+1.3-0.1+1.3+0.1-1.8-4.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian Vazquez is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Vazquez has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Christian Vazquez has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Christian Vazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% -2.1% 6%         Walk -3.8% -0.6% 37%         In Play +6.9% +2.7% 39%         On Base -0.5% +0.9% 31%         Hit +3.3% +1.5% 14%         Single +1.6% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years