Matchup Machine

Christian Vazquez

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matchup for Jalen Beeks

156th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Jalen Beeks

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matchup for C. Vazquez

207th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for Vazquez
3

Model Prediction

Christian Vazquez has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 0.5% higher than Vazquez's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Beeks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%24.6%2.3%5.4%16.9%6.2%15.8%
Vazquez+0.5+0.90.00.0+0.9-0.4-5.4
Beeks-2.6+0.4-0.2+0.5+0.2-3.1-2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian Vazquez is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vazquez has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Christian Vazquez has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Changeup (L)
34%
   Cutter (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Christian Vazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% -2.5% 6%         Walk -3.8% -0.1% 37%         In Play +6.9% +2.6% 39%         On Base -0.5% +0.4% 31%         Hit +3.3% +0.5% 14%         Single +1.6% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -1.3%

History

Christian Vazquez has 4 plate appearances against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual430000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.001
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-06Strikeout
2022-07-14Pop Out100%
2022-07-12Pop Out100%
2022-07-04Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.