Matchup Machine

      Christian Vazquez

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      matchup for Zach Eflin

      92nd out of 436 (Best 22%)

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      Zach Eflin

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      matchup for C. Vazquez

      400th out of 564 (Worst 29%)

      Leans in favor of Eflin
      2

      Model Prediction

      Christian Vazquez has a 27.7% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 2.5% lower than Vazquez's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Eflin.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Christian Vazquez is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Vazquez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Christian Vazquez has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      33%
         Curve (R)
      19%
         Cutter (R)
      16%
         Slider (R)
      13%
         4-Seam (R)
      10%
         Changeup (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.8% of Christian Vazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +0.0% 6%         Walk -3.9% -4.0% 37%         In Play +6.9% +3.9% 39%         On Base -0.6% -3.8% 31%         Hit +3.3% +0.2% 14%         Single +1.6% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% +0.0% 3%         Home Run -0.4% +0.1%

      History

      Christian Vazquez has 4 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual440000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.160.000.060.100.040
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-06-06Lineout6%1%92%
      2023-06-06Groundout2%97%
      2022-11-02Strikeout
      2022-10-03Groundout6%94%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.