Matchup Machine

Christian Vazquez

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matchup for Austin Gomber

334th out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for C. Vazquez

36th out of 567 (Best 7%)

Strong advantage for Vazquez
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Model Prediction

Christian Vazquez has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 2.7% higher than Vazquez's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.0%29.1%2.9%7.2%19.0%3.8%14.9%
Vazquez+2.7+5.5+0.6+1.8+3.0-2.8-6.3
Gomber+1.2+3.2-0.4+0.6+3.1-2.0-2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian Vazquez is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Vazquez has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Christian Vazquez has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Christian Vazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% -3.3% 6%         Walk -3.8% -2.5% 37%         In Play +6.9% +5.9% 39%         On Base -0.5% +0.6% 31%         Hit +3.3% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.6% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.4% +0.3%

History

Christian Vazquez has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010000.500
Expected From Contact →1.210.000.980.230.606
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-12Double98%1%1%
2024-06-12Groundout22%78%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.