Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Christian Vazquez

matchup for Martin Perez

199th out of 436 (Best 46%)

Martin Perez

matchup for C. Vazquez

75th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Strong advantage for Vazquez

Christian Vazquez has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.3% higher than Vazquez's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Perez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.5%	27.1%	2.6%	5.8%	18.7%	6.4%	15.9%
Vazquez	+3.3	+3.4	+0.3	+0.4	+2.7	-0.2	-5.3
Perez	-1.1	+1.8	-0.5	+0.5	+1.8	-2.9	-2.5

Christian Vazquez is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vazquez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Christian Vazquez has a C grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

34%

Changeup (L)

25%

Cutter (L)

25%

4-Seam (L)

Curve (L)

22% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Christian Vazquez has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

62% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 38% higher than the MLB average. Christian Vazquez has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 62%

+38%

Extreme Break 34%

+19%

Offspeed (L) 25%

+13%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Medium Velo 24%

+10%

12.8% of Christian Vazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% -6.1% 6%

Walk -3.8% -0.3% 37%

In Play +6.9% +6.4% 39%

On Base -0.5% +5.9% 31%

Hit +3.3% +6.3% 14%

Single +1.6% +3.5% 13%

2B / 3B +2.1% +3.3% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -0.6%

36.8% of Christian Vazquez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. Martin Perez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.9% rate, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.4% +4.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.5% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -0.4% +0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.6% +0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.3% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.3% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.0% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -0.9%

16.5% of Christian Vazquez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.8% lower than the league average. 25.2% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% +2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.4% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.4% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.8% +0.9%

10.7% of Christian Vazquez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.3% +2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.8% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -1.3% +0.2% 15%

19 to 28° +1.9% -1.4% 11%

29 to 38° -0.7% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.4% -0.3% 8%

Above 50° -1.5% -2.1%

Christian Vazquez has 5 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	2	0	0	2	0	0	0.400
Expected From Contact →			2.20	0.01	0.11	2.08			0.440

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-08-31	Flyout		8%		90%
2022-08-31	Groundout			39%	61%
2022-08-31	Single			66%	34%
2022-08-09	Single		2%	79%	18%
2022-08-09	Groundout			23%	77%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe