Matchup Machine

      George Springer

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      matchup for Zach Penrod

      373rd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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      Zach Penrod

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      matchup for George Springer

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Extreme advantage for Springer
      10

      Model Prediction

      George Springer has a 37.3% chance of reaching base vs Zach Penrod, which is 3.7% higher than Springer's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Penrod.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      George Springer is worse vs left-handed pitching. Zach Penrod is left handed .

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Zach Penrod throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. George Springer has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      45%
         Changeup (L)
      30%
         Slider (L)
      24%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.3% of George Springer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Zach Penrod strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% -10.5% 4%         Walk +1.7% +13.9% 39%         In Play +2.2% -3.4% 39%         On Base +2.0% +6.9% 31%         Hit +0.3% -7.0% 14%         Single -0.9% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% -1.8% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -2.9%

      History

      George Springer has 1 plate appearance against Zach Penrod in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.010.000.010.000.008
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-09-24Flyout99%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.