Matchup Machine

George Springer

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matchup for Taj Bradley

408th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Taj Bradley

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matchup for George Springer

279th out of 567 (Best 50%)

Strong advantage for Springer
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Model Prediction

George Springer has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.1% higher than Springer's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Bradley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%25.3%3.5%5.3%16.5%8.4%21.0%
Springer+0.1+2.0+0.0+0.3+1.7-1.9-0.2
Bradley+3.0+2.8+0.9+0.4+1.4+0.3-5.4

Handedness and Release Point

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George Springer is better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Springer has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. George Springer has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

12.3% of George Springer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% +3.2% 4%         Walk +1.7% +0.4% 39%         In Play +2.2% -3.5% 39%         On Base +2.0% -1.3% 31%         Hit +0.3% -1.6% 14%         Single -0.9% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +1.2%

History

George Springer has 14 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 14 with 2 home runs and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual14144202300.286
Expected From Contact →4.121.880.192.040.294
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-21Strikeout
2024-09-21Groundout12%88%
2024-09-21Groundout3%13%84%
2024-07-25Pop Out100%
2024-07-25Flyout2%98%
2024-07-25Pop Out100%
2023-09-29Lineout76%23%
2023-09-24Home Run93%6%2%
2023-09-24Groundout9%91%
2023-09-24Strikeout
2023-09-24Strikeout
2023-05-23Home Run95%3%2%
2023-05-23Single5%84%12%
2023-05-23Single10%90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.