Matchup Machine

George Springer

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matchup for Chris Paddack

378th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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Chris Paddack

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matchup for George Springer

298th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Strong advantage for Springer
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Model Prediction

George Springer has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 1.6% lower than Springer's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Paddack.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%24.9%4.0%5.1%15.8%7.2%19.0%
Springer-1.6+1.6+0.5+0.0+1.0-3.2-2.2
Paddack+1.8+1.2+0.7-0.6+1.1+0.7-3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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George Springer is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Springer has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. George Springer has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Changeup (R)
28%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

12.3% of George Springer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% +4.3% 4%         Walk +1.7% -3.2% 39%         In Play +2.2% -1.1% 39%         On Base +2.0% -3.8% 31%         Hit +0.3% -0.6% 14%         Single -0.9% -0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% -0.1% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years