Matchup Machine

George Springer

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matchup for Tanner Houck

402nd out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for George Springer

278th out of 567 (Best 50%)

Strong advantage for Springer
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Model Prediction

George Springer has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.8% higher than Springer's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.4%23.0%2.8%4.8%15.3%11.5%16.7%
Springer+0.8-0.3-0.7-0.2+0.5+1.2-4.5
Houck+2.7+0.9+0.7+0.5-0.3+1.8-2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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George Springer is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Springer has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. George Springer has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

12.3% of George Springer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% -1.6% 4%         Walk +1.7% +0.2% 39%         In Play +2.2% +1.4% 39%         On Base +2.0% +0.4% 31%         Hit +0.3% +0.3% 14%         Single -0.9% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.9%

History

George Springer has 9 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 8 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual980000210.000
Expected From Contact →0.560.000.020.540.070
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-23Groundout8%92%
2024-09-23Groundout3%97%
2024-06-24Flyout100%
2024-06-24Groundout3%97%
2024-06-24GIDP39%61%
2023-05-02Strikeout
2023-05-02Flyout1%98%
2023-05-02Strikeout
2022-07-23Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.