Matchup Machine

George Springer

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

421st out of 436 (Worst 4%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for George Springer

31st out of 567 (Best 6%)

Extreme advantage for Springer
10

Model Prediction

George Springer has a 36.9% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.3% higher than Springer's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.9%26.0%5.4%5.5%15.1%10.9%17.8%
Springer+3.3+2.7+1.9+0.5+0.3+0.6-3.5
Flaherty+2.7+2.7+1.8+0.4+0.60.0-5.0

Handedness and Release Point

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George Springer is better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Springer has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. George Springer has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

12.3% of George Springer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% +5.8% 4%         Walk +1.7% -1.5% 39%         In Play +2.2% -4.3% 39%         On Base +2.0% -2.0% 31%         Hit +0.3% -0.5% 14%         Single -0.9% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.2%

History

George Springer has 9 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 8 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual980000310.000
Expected From Contact →1.260.030.480.750.157
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-19Groundout4%96%
2024-07-19Strikeout
2024-07-19Lineout3%46%10%41%
2023-08-03Lineout1%17%82%
2023-08-03Strikeout
2023-08-03Walk
2023-04-01Strikeout
2023-04-01Flyout100%
2023-04-01GIDP44%56%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.