Matchup Machine

      George Springer

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      matchup for Miles Mikolas

      374th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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      Miles Mikolas

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      matchup for George Springer

      167th out of 564 (Best 30%)

      Strong advantage for Springer
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      Model Prediction

      George Springer has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 0.2% higher than Springer's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Mikolas.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      George Springer is better vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Springer has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. George Springer has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      27%
         Slider (R)
      26%
         Sinker (R)
      24%
         Curve (R)
      18%
         Changeup (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.6% of George Springer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% -3.4% 4%         Walk +1.5% -3.8% 39%         In Play +1.8% +7.2% 39%         On Base +1.9% -0.5% 31%         Hit +0.3% +3.3% 14%         Single -1.0% +1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% +1.9% 3%         Home Run +1.9% -0.1%

      History

      George Springer has 6 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 6 with a home run and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual664103200.667
      Expected From Contact →3.000.690.701.610.500
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-03-30Single1%91%7%
      2023-03-30Single41%41%19%
      2023-03-30Single27%73%
      2022-05-23Strikeout
      2022-05-23Home Run69%28%3%
      2022-05-23Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.