Matchup Machine

George Springer

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

342nd out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for George Springer

215th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Strong advantage for Springer
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Model Prediction

George Springer has a 36.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.8% higher than Springer's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.4%21.5%3.2%4.2%14.1%14.9%19.5%
Springer+2.8-1.8-0.3-0.8-0.7+4.6-1.7
Anderson+2.7-0.7+0.2-1.0+0.0+3.4-2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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George Springer is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Springer has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. George Springer has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.3% of George Springer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% -1.9% 4%         Walk +1.7% -1.0% 39%         In Play +2.2% +2.9% 39%         On Base +2.0% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.3% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.9% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.2%

History

George Springer has 13 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 11 with a home run, 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual13113102120.273
Expected From Contact →4.481.081.881.520.407
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-25Groundout3%97%
2024-08-25Strikeout
2024-08-25Single7%87%6%
2024-08-14Walk
2024-08-14Flyout32%33%34%
2024-08-14Groundout4%95%
2024-08-14Walk
2023-07-30Lineout1%32%1%65%
2023-07-30Flyout31%24%45%
2023-07-30Lineout1%41%4%53%
2023-04-08Single47%53%
2023-04-08Groundout3%97%
2023-04-08Home Run42%50%7%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.