Matchup Machine

Marcus Semien

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matchup for Reid Detmers

423rd out of 436 (Worst 3%)

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Reid Detmers

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matchup for Marcus Semien

111st out of 567 (Best 20%)

Extreme advantage for Semien
9

Model Prediction

Marcus Semien has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Reid Detmers, which is 2.5% higher than Semien's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Detmers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.2%24.5%4.6%5.8%14.1%10.7%21.2%
Semien+2.5+1.4+1.1+0.7-0.5+1.1+3.8
Detmers+3.1+2.3+1.3+0.8+0.2+0.9-11.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcus Semien is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Reid Detmers is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Semien has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Reid Detmers throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Marcus Semien has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

9.1% of Marcus Semien's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.2% lower than the league average. Reid Detmers strikes out 19.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.2% +6.4% 4%         Walk +0.8% -0.2% 36%         In Play +8.4% -6.1% 39%         On Base +1.5% -3.3% 31%         Hit +0.7% -3.1% 14%         Single -0.3% -2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% -1.9% 3%         Home Run +0.9% +1.2%

History

Marcus Semien has 30 plate appearances against Reid Detmers in the last 3 years. He is 10 for 27 with 3 doubles and 3 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual302710037630.370
Expected From Contact →8.221.801.415.020.305
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-27Single1%61%38%
2024-09-27Single1%94%4%
2024-09-27Strikeout
2023-09-26Walk
2023-09-26Groundout23%77%
2023-09-26Strikeout
2023-09-26Double28%37%3%32%
2023-08-16Pop Out1%1%97%
2023-08-16Flyout10%1%87%
2023-08-16Double9%3%88%
2023-08-16Groundout6%94%
2023-06-14Pop Out100%
2023-06-14Groundout3%97%
2023-06-14Single94%5%
2023-05-06Single25%10%65%
2023-05-06Strikeout
2023-05-06Strikeout
2022-09-30Flyout56%20%23%
2022-09-30Strikeout
2022-09-30Flyout100%
2022-07-31Walk
2022-07-31Single2%67%31%
2022-07-31Strikeout
2022-05-25Triple95%4%1%
2022-05-25Single1%80%19%
2022-05-25Pop Out99%
2022-05-17Lineout2%3%94%
2022-05-17Flyout99%
2022-04-15Single25%48%27%
2022-04-15Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.