Matchup Machine

Marcus Semien

Worst 4% of matchups for Tanner Houck

Tanner Houck

Worst 32% of matchups for Marcus Semien

Strong advantage for Semien

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.3%	4.4%	14.4%	11.4%	17.3%
MLB (+/-)	+0.5	+0.2	+0.5	+1.8	-7.9
Semien	-0.1	-0.4	-1.1	+1.4	-0.8
Houck	+0.5	+0.2	+2.0	+0.9	-5.9

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.3%

4.4%

14.4%

11.4%

17.3%

MLB (+/-)

+0.5

+0.2

+0.5

+1.8

-7.9

Semien

-0.1

-0.4

-1.1

+1.4

-0.8

Houck

+0.5

+0.2

+2.0

+0.9

-5.9

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	8	1	0	0	1	3	0	.125
Expected From Contact →			0.10	0.00	0.01	0.09			.012

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Single			5%	95%
2023-09-19	Groundout			2%	98%
2023-09-19	Flyout				100%
2022-05-15	Groundout			2%	98%
2021-08-07	Strikeout
2021-08-07	Strikeout
2021-07-28	Flyout				99%
2021-07-28	Strikeout

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐	49%	100	RHB vs RHP	44	47%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐

49%

100

RHB vs RHP

47%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	51%	101	Fastball	29	51%
	27%	76	Breaking	71	38%
	13%	35	Offspeed	93	11%	⭐
			------------------
	47%	80	Slider	70	38%
	49%	51	Sinker	54	29%
	49%	69	Cutter	62	12%
	47%	33	Splitter	100	11%	⭐⭐
⭐⭐	51%	111	Four-Seam FB	28	10%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

51%

101

Fastball

51%

27%

Breaking

38%

13%

Offspeed

11%

⭐

------------------

47%

Slider

38%

49%

Sinker

29%

49%

Cutter

12%

47%

Splitter

100

11%

⭐⭐

51%

111

Four-Seam FB

10%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	72%	100	Bottom of zone	54	15%
	66%	60	Away / Glove Side	54	12%
⭐⭐	80%	116	In / Arm Side	41	10%
⭐	76%	100	Top of zone	41	8%
	83%	42	Middle	67	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

72%

100

Bottom of zone

15%

66%

Away / Glove Side

12%

⭐⭐

80%

116

In / Arm Side

10%

⭐

76%

100

Top of zone

83%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
32%	48	Below the zone	79	43%
27%	66	Away / Glove Side	58	33%
38%	22	In / Arm Side	18	21%
32%	56	Above the zone	8	14%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

32%

Below the zone

43%

27%

Away / Glove Side

33%

38%

In / Arm Side

21%

32%

Above the zone

14%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	52%	61	Batter Behind	51	29%
	63%	73	2 Strikes	56	28%
	50%	73	Batter Ahead	45	27%
⭐⭐	36%	104	First Pitch	41	27%
	62%	41	3 Balls	43	8%
	73%	35	Full Count	43	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

52%

Batter Behind

29%

63%

2 Strikes

28%

50%

Batter Ahead

27%

⭐⭐

36%

104

First Pitch

27%

62%

3 Balls

73%

Full Count