Matchup Machine

Marcus Semien

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matchup for Dylan Floro

344th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

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Dylan Floro

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matchup for Marcus Semien

145th out of 567 (Best 26%)

Extreme advantage for Semien
9

Model Prediction

Marcus Semien has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Floro, which is 0.7% higher than Semien's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Floro.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%26.5%3.9%4.7%18.0%6.9%11.3%
Semien+0.7+3.3+0.4-0.4+3.4-2.6-6.1
Floro-0.1+0.1+0.8-0.6-0.1-0.3-5.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcus Semien is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dylan Floro is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Semien has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dylan Floro throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Marcus Semien has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
41%
   Slider (R)
24%
   4-Seam (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

9.1% of Marcus Semien's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.2% lower than the league average. Dylan Floro strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.2% -2.5% 4%         Walk +0.8% -1.6% 36%         In Play +8.4% +4.0% 39%         On Base +1.5% +3.4% 31%         Hit +0.7% +5.0% 14%         Single -0.3% +3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +0.9% -1.3%

History

Marcus Semien has 5 plate appearances against Dylan Floro in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.270.000.100.170.054
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-11Lineout9%4%87%
2024-05-01Forceout5%94%
2023-09-02Groundout6%94%
2023-08-26Hit By Pitch
2022-09-12Groundout2%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.