Matchup Machine

Anthony Rendon

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matchup for Tarik Skubal

405th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Tarik Skubal

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matchup for Anthony Rendon

548th out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Moderate advantage for Skubal
3

Model Prediction

Anthony Rendon has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 6.4% lower than Rendon's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Skubal.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.6%21.3%1.8%5.1%14.4%6.3%18.2%
Rendon-6.4-0.8-0.1-0.4-0.3-5.6+2.7
Skubal+2.3+1.3-0.4+1.1+0.7+1.0-11.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Rendon is better vs left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rendon has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Anthony Rendon has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Sinker (L)
16%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.2% of Anthony Rendon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.1% +6.3% 3%         Walk +3.2% -3.3% 37%         In Play +5.9% -3.0% 39%         On Base +2.4% -5.6% 31%         Hit -0.8% -2.3% 14%         Single +0.2% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -1.2% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years